Hsbc Currency Exchange Rates Today – Foreign Exchange Forecasts 2021-2022: HSBC Short, Medium and Long Term Forecasts By Tim Clayton Currency Forecasts, HSBC Forecasts, Institutional Rate Forecasts, Pound Sterling Forecasts – March 16, 2021, 5:23 pm
Sustained rise in US dollar exchange rate too early, pound sterling vulnerable to reversal HSBC has slightly revised its forecast for the dollar, but the US currency is still expected to weaken when EUR/USD hits a high in 2021 before reversing next year. 1.2300. HSBC still sees the pound as vulnerable to weak fundamentals and expects significant losses. Revised forecasts for EUR/USD. EURUSD is expected to retreat to 1.1800 at the end of the first quarter before posting gains with a net advance of 0.6% to 1.20 by mid-2021. Further gains are expected in the second half of the year with an increase of up to 3.1%. At the end of the quarter, it did not change until the end of the year to 1.23. EUR/USD will retreat in 2022, with the pair falling 1.1% by June next year and returning to negative territory at 1.18. USD/JPY is expected to trade in a relatively tight range with a net loss of 2.9% through the end of 2021, at 106 before recovering to 108 by June 2022, down 1.1% from the current spot rate. Outlook for Sterling The GBP/USD exchange rate is expected to trade below current levels during the forecast period. After little change in the first quarter, the rate is expected to fall to 1.36% by June 2021. The bank expects the overall decline to fall to 1.34 percent by September 2021 from 3.7 percent, after which the rate will remain at this level until the end of the year. the rest of the horizon. As for the EUR/GBP exchange rate, it is expected to strengthen by 2.7% to 0.88 by the end of the second quarter, with a strong gain of 7.4% to 0.92 by the end of the year. Pound losses are expected to moderate in 2022 with EUR/GBP net forecast for 5.0% to 0.9000 in March and 2.7% to 0.88 by June 2022. More bank predictions:
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Euro-dollar exchange rate to fall to 1.1700: MUFG forecast. Buy Pounds, Euros and Sell Euros against the US Dollar: Nordea FX Forecasts 2021-2022 Pound-Dollar Forecast Comparison Chart: Next 3, 6, 9 and 12 Month Forecast USD/CAD Rate Views for 2021: US-Canadian Dollar rebounds, year-end call says CIBCUS aims for USD-JPY 110 target MUFG analysts on bounce in US growth ECB meeting preview: FX analyst views and forecast moves for euro against pound, 6-12 month FX forecast: pound to rise 1.50 to, Euro 1.30 to USD 2021 Losses Australia (AUD), Canada (CAD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Limited gains for AUD/USD Mid-2021 forecast 2.3% net gains to 0.79 is expected. -a year. A further net gain of 4.8% to 0.81% is forecast by the end of 2021. AUD/USD is expected to fall to 0.79 by the end of 2022. A similar pattern holds for the Canadian dollar, with USDCAD expected to fall 2.2% to 1.22 by the end of 2021, while USD/CAD is expected to rise to 1.24 in mid-2022, up 0.6% from current levels . NZD/USD is expected to rise 4.4% to 0.75 by the end of 2021, giving up most of its gains with a limited net advance of 1.6% to 0.73 in mid-2022. The currency continued to grow during the forecast period. EUR/NOK is expected to fall 6.9% to 9.40 by the end of 2021, EUR/SEK is expected to fall 3.8% to 9.80.
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Follow Malaysia on Facebook This link will open in a new window Follow Malaysia on Youtube This link will open in a new window Follow Malaysia on Instagram This link will open in a new window HSBC Exchange Rate Forecasts 2021-2022: February 2021 Forex Forecasts, HSBC Forecasts, Institutional Rate Forecasts, Pound Sterling Forecasts by Tim Clayton – February 14, 2021 08:34 AM
Weak fundamentals weigh on GBP (GBP), loose Fed policy affects recovery optimism, steers US dollar (USD) weaker. FX analysts at HSBC assess the potential drivers of the US dollar (USD) in 2021 and think a strong recovery driven by fiscal stimulus will provide some support for the US currency. Still, he believes the lack of yield support will be decisive as the US dollar (USD) falls. Commodity currencies (AUD, NZD, CAD) are expected to gain, while the pound sterling (GBP) is expected to lose broadly due to weak fundamentals. HSBC anticipates further discussion on key drivers of US dollar movements. In particular, there will be uncertainty as to whether a strong recovery in US growth will strengthen or weaken the US dollar. “USD pegs are tied to the ebb and flow of risk appetite, but we expect this USD-Fed debate to continue in the coming months.” Strong growth will increase capital inflows, but the recovery will increase risk appetite and trigger a flow of funds into alternative assets. However, the cost of protecting dollar investments from adverse currency movements is now much lower, hampering the US dollar as potential capital flows into US markets are hedged. The bank is somewhat sympathetic to the view that stronger growth in the U.S. will support the U.S. dollar, but remains unconvinced at this point. “If the Fed maintains its accommodative stance over this period (as we expect), there is some room for the US dollar to weaken.” Growth expectations may weigh on US deficit fears. HSBC notes that the current account deficit with the US budget was around 19% of GDP last year. “Twin US deficits loom large in 2020 and will remain a key part of the argument for a structural decline in the US dollar for years to come.” The relationship between the deficit and the dollar is limited, but a worsening of the cycle could be decisive, according to the bank’s analysis. “It could be a diploma
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